19-Aug-17: Two women stabbed to death in a central city square and Finland confronts a new reality

The attack scene on Friday afternoon [Via Twitter]

Finland's oldest - and these days its sixth largest - city Turku (population 190,000) rarely makes the news. But it's there now.

Yesterday (Friday) afternoon, initial reports emerged that in one of its main central squares a man had stabbed two people to death and injured half a dozen others. He was shot and apprehended by police and members of the public were being urged to avoid the city center while authorities continued their investigation. The New York Times assured readers that

The authorities emphasized that the attack was not being treated as a terrorist act, but they did not offer any other information about the assailant’s motives. The suspect, who was not identified, was hospitalized with a gunshot wound to one of his legs... “We are not looking for other perpetrators at the moment, but we are looking into who might have helped him,” Markus Laine of the National Bureau of Investigation said. “We cannot rule out that others might have assisted him. We cannot say for sure if he is a Finnish citizen or a foreigner yet, but we are following several leads regarding his identity.”

But readers might have been perplexed by some of the details further down the page:

Wali Hashi, a journalist who saw the episode, said in an interview that a group of people chased the knife-wielding man, who was screaming “God is great” in Arabic. “I was shocked and terrified to see such a horrible incident,” Mr. Hashi said. The police declined to confirm whether the assailant had yelled anything in Arabic. The man then ran to another city square, where the police apprehended him and recovered the knife.

On the other hand, this report suggested

others say that he’s yelling “watch out” in Finnish.

Terrorism or not, security was promptly tightened at transit hubs including the local airport and the train stations in the Finnish capital, Helsinki, 180 kilometers away.

Tonight, Saturday, some nuances have been added to the record and the killings are now being called Finland's "first suspected terrorist attack". These details are from a prominent Finnish news service:

The attack is now being treated by Finland's National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) as murder and attempted murder with a terrorist intent... The two [people] killed were Finnish citizens... The main suspect, an 18-year-old Moroccan man, remains hospitalised in critical condition after being shot in the hip by police. Police took four other individuals into custody overnight. Three people remain in intensive care, including the suspected assailant... ...The three foreigners injured in Turku were from Britain, Sweden and Italy... Police believe the attacker apparently specifically targeted women, but otherwise chose his victims at random. Some of the victims have serious injuries, but none are considered life-threatening. The victims ranged in age from 15 to 67... The main suspect has so far been unwilling to speak to police, who plan to try again later on Saturday. ["Finnish police: Main suspect in Turku attack is 18-year-old Moroccan", YLE, August 19, 2017]

It goes on to say that the other four detainees are, like the man shot while allegedly knifing his victims, all Moroccan. They were arrested in private homes and at an asylum-seekers' reception centre. There is now an international warrant out for "a fifth Moroccan", in the words of the Finnish report.

The Helsinki Times adds that the "behaviour" of the attacker prior to the killings "gives reason to investigate the attack as an act of terrorism" and the attack was, to use their word, "premeditated". But none of the suspects was on any police surveillance lists. And no links to terrorist organisations or criminal groups have been confirmed. The police won't say if their attacker or any of those arrested had prior criminal records in Finland.

About the alleged stabber/killer, the police say he -

arrived in Finland early last year and was "involved in the asylum seeking process" - but say they cannot provide further details. The suspected attacker was living at a reception centre for asylum seekers in Turku... [YLE]

And this intriguing postscript

Europol is looking into whether there were any possible connections between the Turku incident and two deadly terror attacks in Spain on Thursday and Friday. Some of the suspects in those attacks are or were Moroccan men of around the same age as the Turku suspect. [YLE]

A Reuters report nearly a year ago ["Asylum seekers protest in Helsinki against Finland's tightened policy", Reuters, September 8, 2016] noted that "more than 1 million migrants and refugees crossed into Europe last year, many fleeing wars and poverty in the Middle East and beyond. About 32,000 came to Finland... almost two thirds of [them] from Iraq". And that "anti-immigrant sentiment among Finns has been on the rise".

While declining to raise the overall security alert level in his country, Finland's prime minister Juha Sipilä made the perfectly correct but somewhat disingenuous observation earlier today that

"We have feared this. The day before in Barcelona and now in Turku. We are no longer an island..." The prime minister noted that Finland is still one of the world's safest countries, adding: "We're doing all we can to ensure that Finland remains that way." [YLE].

We surely all wish them the best of luck in that.

14-Oct-12: If Israel's defensive measures are called 'disproportionate', what to call Hezbollah's aggression?

Hezbollah on parade, Martyrs Day parade in their
southern Beirut stronghold, 2008 [Image Source] 

There was not that much doubt, when reports of Israel bringing down an unidentified drone over the southern Hebron Hills first appeared a week ago [see our post "6-Oct-12: Someone's drone manages to reach southern Israel before being shot down. Questions outnumber answers for now"], that the spy plane originated with Iran and its Lebanese proxy, Hezbollah. 

The head of Hezbollah confirmed the suspicion on Thursday [report]:

"Today we are uncovering a small part of our capabilities, and we shall keep many more hidden," Nasrallah said, adding that it is Hezbollah's "natural right" and the group "can reach any place we want."

The drone, he said, was made in Iran. And today, the defence minister in the Iranian government, Gen. Ahmad Vahidi, says on Iranian state television that this was a "great job by Hezbollah".

How significant are the admissions? Yaakov Lappin analyzes it on the JINSA website and says they are crucially important

"...since it will be Hezbollah, with its tens of thousands of rockets, that will lead Iran's reprisal attempts for any potential Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear weapons development program... Over the duration of the [2006 war with the Lebanese-based terrorist organization], some 4,000 Hezbollah rockets struck northern Israel. That's a pattern the IDF believes must not be repeated, since Hezbollah is today armed with some 60,000 rockets, including projectiles that can strike any location in Israel including the heavily populated area of greater Tel Aviv. Hezbollah was founded in the 1980s by Iranian intelligence agents operating within the Lebanese Shi'ite community. Today, the organization is an alien feature in the Lebanese landscape, and represents Iran's strike force in the Levant, situated right on Israel's northern border."

Robin Shepherd publishes an excellent blog called The Commentator. On Thursday, under the heading "The banal realities of Israel’s self-defence", he writes: 

"The key phrase [in the Nasrallah claim of credit] is this: “it is our natural right…” That is a precise and accurate reflection of how Israel’s enemies have always seen the rules of the game in their decades long struggle to annihilate Israel. They are justified in doing anything to anyone in pursuit of their ambitions; if Israel puts up the slightest resistance, it is Israel that must be held to responsible for what follows. And it is a measure of what Israel is up against in the wider world that the United Nations, the British Foreign Office, the European Union (absurdly just awarded the Nobel Peace Prize), most of the world’s NGOs, and all of the world’s Islamic states have to varying degrees internalised this narrative and made it their own... If an enemy state or organised military group sent drones over Russia, or Britain, or France, or China, or (your candidate here), as part of an openly stated campaign of ultimate destruction, there would not be the smallest word of dissent against the victim’s right to defend itself... To people of goodwill – ie. none of the above  – this underlines the daily realities that Israel has to confront in securing its borders and protecting its citizens."

Some sample complaints by distant onlookers about the scale of Israel's response to attacks on its civilians territory:

• "Finland's Prime Minister Matti Vanhanen has expressed his incredulity at the attack by Israeli commandos on an aid flotilla carrying humanitarian aid to Gaza. He added Israel all too often used disproportionate military force..." [An unpronouncable news-site from Finland - June 1, 2010]
• "Moscow condemns Israel for using disproportionate force against Palestinians" [Russia's Interfax news agency - October 9, 2012]: 
• "UN rights boss condemns disproportionate use of force" [Turkish newspaper Sunday's Zaman, June 1, 2010]
• "Israel’s increasingly aggressive stance on the regional stage is also reflected in its disproportionate response to the Unesco decision to admit the Palestinians to full membership..." [From a November 4, 2011 editorial in the Irish Times entitled "A dangerous game"

Triple threat: Ahmadinijad of Iran; Al-Assad of Syria; Nasrallah
of Hezbollah in Damascus, Februay 25, 2010 [Image Source: AP]

The Iranians, feverishly developing nuclear capacity even while their economy and currency crumble, are especially fond of dismissing Israel's concerns. 

"The Israeli military frequently bombs the Gaza Strip. In the attacks, disproportionate force is always used, in violation of international law, and civilians are often killed or injured..." [Iran's PressTV - Wednesday, October 10, 2012. And repeated verbatim on numerous other government-owned Iranian news channels like SaharTV and Shiapost and Ahlul Bayt and Tehran Times and so on.]

And finally a brief reminder, via Charles Krauthammer in the Washington Post some weeks back of how proportionality actually works:

"Israel [is] a speck on the map, at one point eight miles wide. Israel is a “one-bomb country.” Its territory is so tiny, its population so concentrated that, as Iran’s former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani has famously said, “Application of an atomic bomb would not leave anything in Israel but the same thing would just produce damages in the Muslim world.” A tiny nuclear arsenal would do the job... The mullahs have a radically different worldview, a radically different grievance and a radically different calculation of the consequences of nuclear war... Israel refuses to trust its very existence to the convenient theories of comfortable analysts living 6,000 miles from its Ground Zero."